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The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Mar 22, 2017 12:28 pm
by Ian Livesey
Discounting Fylde as I think they're as good as Champions, here's the run in for those who I think are in the playoff hunt:

2nd - Kidderminster 66pts - Last 8 games
Harrogate (h)
FC Halifax (h)
Gloucester (a)
Stalybridge (a)
Boston (h)
Altrincham (a)
Gainsborough (a)
Bradford PA (h)

3rd - Salford 64pts - Last 7 games
Boston (a)
Altrincham (h)
Harrogate (a)
Gainsborough (a)
Curzon Ashton (h)
Worcester (a)
Darlington (h)

4th - Chorley 63pts - Last 7 games
Curzon Ashton (h)
Gainsborough (h)
Nuneaton (a)
Worcester (h)
Stalybridge (a)
Gloucester (a)
FC Halifax (h)

5th - Halifax 61pts - Last 8 games
FC United (a)
Kidderminster (a)
Brackley (a)
Alfreton (h)
AFC Fylde (h)
Harrogate (a)
Curzon Ashton (h)
Chorley (a)

6th - Darlington 60pts - Last 8 games
Bradford PA (h)
Gainsborough (a)
AFC Fylde (a)
Tamworth (h)
Alfreton (a)
FC United (h)
Telford (h)
Salford (a)

7th - Stockport County 60pts - Last 7 games
Tamworth (h)
Nuneaton (h)
Gainsborough (a)
Telford (h)
Worcester (a)
Bradford PA (a)
Gloucester (h)

This will be updated as time goes on

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Mar 22, 2017 12:30 pm
by Ian Livesey
Gainsborough seems to be the team that's playing 5 of the 7 and they'll be fighting for their lives no doubt, and they narrowly lost to Halifax last night.

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Mar 22, 2017 2:32 pm
by Lawsyd
I hope that I'm not tempting fate, but I prefer ours to any of the others.

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Mar 22, 2017 3:05 pm
by Ian Livesey
Lawsyd wrote:I hope that I'm not tempting fate, but I prefer ours to any of the others.


Ours certainly looks the easiest on paper

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Mar 22, 2017 6:10 pm
by Ed
S County may have easiest on paper.
Agree Fylde should win title.
Kidderminster could win most of theirs. Inspired signing of Joe Ironside from Nuneaton should see them runners up.

Once Fylde have sufficient points they could slow down.
Chorley v Halifax on last day of season could be decider for CFC.

Guisely in Non L Paper when they beat us said that once they had sufficient points they rotated squad to keep them fresh for playoffs.

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Thu Mar 23, 2017 8:35 am
by Ian Livesey
No easy games for anyone as we all play teams who are fighting to stay in the division. Pretty sure Gainsborough may upset at least one apple in the cart

As for squad rotation, I remember some players getting the afternoon off in the Solihull game at the end of the season before we were due to play Boston in the two legged semi final

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Thu Mar 23, 2017 12:52 pm
by Lawsyd
Ian Livesey wrote:No easy games for anyone as we all play teams who are fighting to stay in the division. Pretty sure Gainsborough may upset at least one apple in the cart

As for squad rotation, I remember some players getting the afternoon off in the Solihull game at the end of the season before we were due to play Boston in the two legged semi final


Of the teams we have left to play I only really see Worcester still being involved in a relegation fight. IMHO Stalybridge will be officially relegated before we play them & the others 'down below' should all be safe. Even Halifax may well have nothing left to play for by the last day of the regular season (boy, do I hate that Americanism that's crept into our sport in recent years :twisted: )

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Thu Mar 23, 2017 7:52 pm
by Ian Livesey
Gainsborough and Worcester battling it out

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:11 pm
by VictorEPark
BIG FINISH

With four contenders playing each other on the final weekend, the playoffs are in the balance. What better time than to crank up the VEP 386 to forecast the likely outcome.

BEFORE 3pm
on final day, VEP 386 shows each team to have following points totals.
Fylde – 85/86 CHAMPIONS
Kidderminster – 82-RUNNERS-UP
S. County – 75-77
Halifax – 74 - 78
Salford – 75
Chorley – 73-75
Darlington – 74
If the VEP has it right, then to reach the playoffs, Chorley MUST beat Halifax.
For Darlington to get there, they MUST beat Salford...
and Chorley and Halifax draw with each other.

The VEP386 shows Fylde to beat Halifax. However, Fylde are nearly over the line and may have little toplay for when they meet Halifax in which case Halifax may take points from Fylde and end up with 77 or 78 points.
Fifth is best Chorley position computer comes up with (most likely 6th or 7th).
If 5th we would play Kidderminster home and away (thanks, Mike 1) and probably Halifax (form team) away in final.

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Apr 05, 2017 11:16 am
by Lawsyd
Hate to be pedantic, but is your info correct? Your post says that Darlo need to beat us, but we've already played each other twice. Thoughts & an edit, maybe?

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Apr 05, 2017 11:29 am
by Prodigal son
Lawsyd, if you read it again and insert a Comma after the word Salford then you will see that the statement is correct. Now that is being pedantic! :D :D :D

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Apr 05, 2017 12:29 pm
by Lawsyd
Prodigal son wrote:Lawsyd, if you read it again and insert a Comma after the word Salford then you will see that the statement is correct. Now that is being pedantic! :D :D :D


I did - and thought I had managed to edit my post out. Apologies to all for winning today's kn**head award. :(

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Apr 05, 2017 5:23 pm
by mike1
VictorEPark wrote:BIG FINISH

With four contenders playing each other on the final weekend, the playoffs are in the balance. What better time than to crank up the VEP 386 to forecast the likely outcome.
[b]

Chorley – 73-75

If the VEP has it right, then to reach the playoffs, Chorley MUST beat Halifax.
For Darlington to get there, they MUST beat Salford and Chorley and Halifax draw.


Fifth is best Chorley position computer comes up with (most likely 6th or 7th). If 5th we would play Kidderminster away and probably Halifax (form team) away.


I think you won't be too far away with your predicted points totals. But if we do make the play-offs, it's worth noting that we will not be limited to a single away tie at the likes of Kidderminster as the semi-finals are played over two legs with the lower-placed team at home in the first leg. So if we were to finish in either 5th or 4th spot, we'd be at home in a semi-final first leg.'

Re: The Run in

PostPosted: Wed Apr 05, 2017 8:29 pm
by VictorEPark
Thanks, Mike1. Two legs in Vanarama North.
The VEP386 runs on Vista and still thinks we are competing in the EvoStik where the play-offs are 2v5 and 3v4.
Original now edited for Lawsyd.